Vuelta a España 2019 – Stage 12 preview

By David Hunter

Circuito De Navarra – Bilbao 171.4km

A tough day in the Basque Country.

I love the final 40km, it’s classic Basque Country. The opening 130km is actually very easy, a day where the break can be easily controlled, as long as a team has the will to do so. Once into the finale, we hit the series of lumps.

The Climbs

First up is 1.9km at 10.8%. This is the point where a lot of riders will grab their ticket for the bus. A short descent follows, before the longest climb of the finale.

4km at 7.7%, and it’s only a cat 3 climb. I love the Basque Country! This time a longer descent follows, before the final climb of the day.

1.9km at 12%, with lots of sections way above the average. This is an absolute leg breaker of a climb, which crests with under 7km to go. There is every chance of rider going solo and not coming back.

Finale

Quite a few twists and turns, which is great for any solo attacker.

Weather

It’s going to be a wet one. That’s going to make the bunch a little nervous.

Breakaway Hopes

This is a day that can be controlled. The flat start means a strong team can ensure a small group get up the road, then everyone can relax. The pressure will be on Movistar, as Valverde will love the climbs at the end of the stage. The problem is that the Spaniards rarely chase all day. We’ll have to wait and see the attitude of the bunch.

Contenders

Alejandro Valverde – if there was ever a stage made for Valverde, this is it. We have three steep climbs, which is exactly his style, and a flat finish. The world champion will be putting his hand up in the team meeting and demanding his team work on the front. After a number of breakaway wins, Movistar have to control of this day and deliver Valverde into the perfect position. He’ll be a little worried about the speed of Higuita’s sprint, but I reckon Valverde will be confident of dropping him on the final climb.

Sergio Higuita – if the pace on the final climb is full gas, I think he’ll get dropped. Make no mistake, I’m a big fan of the Colombian, but we are in the middle of his first grand tour, and his legs will be starting to feel a little heavy.

Primož Roglič – why not? He is a rider who has performed very well in the Tour of the Basque Country, he won’t be afraid of the climbs. Roglič is in the great position of simply having to follow wheels, he doesn’t need to attack. If he can stay with the attacks, he has a very fast sprint finish.

Omar Fraile – breakaway hopeful number 1.

Óscar Rodríguez – breakaway hopeful number 2.

Tao Geoghegan Hart – breakaway hopeful number 3.

Ruben Guerreiro – breakaway hopeful number 4.

Prediction Time

Movistar have to control this one, they simply have to. A glorious day in the Basque Country for Alejandro Valverde.

*Overall preview

David Hunter

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2 comments for “Vuelta a España 2019 – Stage 12 preview

  1. Carl
    4 September, 2019 at 9:17 pm

    Movistar so rarely controls the stages they have to, so the chance they do it now seems very very small, but for sure they ought to.

  2. Moose
    5 September, 2019 at 1:25 pm

    This stage, and yesterday’s, and others like them seem impossible to predict–and indeed they were unpredictable! Though Gilbert won today, I would, in the future, simply say “someone from a wildcard team will win…”

    Thanks for the preview.

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