X2O Trofee Herentals 2022 ME – Preview

By @EchelonsHub

The Course

We’re going into the second half of the X2O Badkamers Trofee and in Herentals we will find one of the hardest tracks of the season. In a mud-filled race last year Wout van Aert took a dominant win and it is not surprising taking into account that this is his home race, we can split the track in 2 halves the first being quite technical, without any serious climb but full of technical turns, however without any significant features that can set differences, unless (as expected) if the mud is present. Forecast is that it won’t rain during the race but today it is and the buildup of precipitation of last week may see quite a slow and draining first part of the track.

As for the second it features quite a lot of climbing, for the most part after the short rider through the athletics track the riders enter a small forested section featuring a string of steep (and technical) climbs, it also features a very treacherous descent that can pose an issue to many, and a run-up a brutally steep hill.

Recon video from last season, track is the same, conditions won’t be too different

The Startlist

The Favourites

This is going to be a race where strategy doesn’t really matter that much, you just need to have a good day and confidence in the mud, the final pitch of the circuit is where the real gaps will be made and the riders have to keep their legs as fresh as possible to tackle that section, those who choose to start off too hard are likely to get in the red very early on, but overall you will just have to climb really well and be fearless in the sketchy parts.

This is Wout van Aert’s home race, literally, and with a draining race it is very likely that he will be thriving but Tom Pidcock is in my eye an incredibly dangerous competitor, I believe they will both be ahead of everyone else tomorrow, the Brit is coming from a string of important wins and although I don’t think he’s the best riding in the mud, the sustained climbing and tricky descents will suit him to the core. I expect a tight battle for the win and another for the GC with Toon Aerts and Eli Iserbyt separated by just 1:20 minutes, with the Baloise Trek Lions rider in the recently obtained lead. It’s hard to tell how Iserbyt will do, he’s of immense quality but rather inconsistent in muddy races, but he will have the form and motivation to get that lead back, rather similar to Lars van der Haar who became European champion on a circuit with a lot of climbing but I’m not sure how he will feel about tomorrow in these conditions.

Michael Vanthourenhout will likely be on the same level as them, winner in Namur and with some specificity over his calendar this year I expect a strong rider from him, I would reckon the gap to the rest of the riders will be rather significant, although I don’t discard a surprise performance by Laurens Sweeck or Toon Vandenbosch seeing how they have both skipped today’s race In order to hunt a good result tomorrow. 

Prediction Time

1st– Wout van Aert

2nd– Tom Pidcock

3rd– Michael Vanthourenhout

4th– Toon Aerts

5th– Eli Iserbyt

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Rúben Silva

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